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Posts Tagged ‘recession’

Gambling

Thursday, May 21st, 2009

Most of us, at one time in our lives, have gambled a little bit of money. Whether you packed up your life savings and headed for the Las Vegas blackjack table, or whether you bet your best friend an dollar that he couldn’t beat you in a footrace, gambling can be a fun and harmless pastime.

However, we all know that gambling can be incredibly addictive and dangerous. An overwhelming number of people (recently estimated at 15 million) show signs of a gambling addiction, and those who are addicted tend to incur debt between $55,000 and $90,000. Gambling addicts experience higher rates of divorce, depression, and suicide.

So why gamble in the first place? There seems to be an oxymoron at work here. As anyone who studies “luck,” will tell you—you can’t be lucky unless you take chances and risks. There is an even an old joke that we here at Five Point Capital have heard many versions of. Many years ago there lived an old man who was having a hard time in life. He owed money on his house and land, had little money for food, and as he aged he found himself needing more and more money for medical expenses for himself and his wife. Every single day he went to his local church to pray. He called out to God each and every single day “God, please help me to win the lottery. I beg you.” Time goes on and his situation grows worse, and yet every day he still goes to church to ask God to help him win the lottery. One day, the old man was in the church, got down on his knees, bowed his head, and prayed in a weeping voice, “God, please, please help me to win the lottery,” and proceeded to weep. Hearing this, God couldn’t stand it any longer, and shouted down to the man from the Heavens, “Do me a favor my son…Buy a ticket!!!!!”

This joke demonstrates what many of us feel; we know that our chances of winning the lottery are slim (indeed, casinos usually profit about $30 billion annually), but we still feel that we should at least put our luck to the test, just in case.

In this economy, gambling can go either way. Those who gambled lightly as a simple pastime are now tabling the hobby to save money. The US Casino Report estimates that 60% of Americans have cut back on their gambling spending, which is about the same as the drop in people spending money on dining out. This has drastically impacted the gambling world, and some racetracks in Kentucky have been forced to close or cancel races now that betting is so low. And while in recent history, the amount of money spent each year on gambling has increased (and actually doubled every year since 1997 for internet gambling), this amount actually dropped dramatically in 2008. Casinos experienced their first-ever annual drop in profits since tracking began in 1999, with a drop of approximately $1.6 billion.

However, those who are worse off might be tempted to push their luck a little further, and this can be dangerous. With lay-offs abound and the economy slumping deeper into a recession, some people may turn to desperate measures to slough off some of their debt. And what’s worse, with this economy, getting out of any gambling debts will be even tougher.

Our suggestion here at 5 Point Capital is to treat gambling as you would any other leisure expense, such as dining out or buying new clothes. Look carefully at your budget and see exactly what you can afford to spend each month on gambling. Once you hit that limit, do not allow yourself to go over. And avoid the cardinal sin of budgeting gambling money—if you win money, this does not increase your pool of gambling money. This is your profit to keep. That way you only spend an affordable amount on gambling each month, and will never delve into debt. The worst case scenario is that you spend your gambling allowance, and the best case scenario is that you make a profit.

If you cannot afford to gamble, don’t start. That is the simple rule. If you cannot afford dining out, buying a new CD, or cable television, gambling should go as well. Consider it just as you would any other leisure activity. Budget a trip to the casino just as you would budget a trip to the beach or a cruise.

If you think you or someone you know has a gambling addiction, you can call the Gamblers Anonymous hotline at 888-GA-HELPS.

Survivor’s Guilt

Tuesday, May 19th, 2009

With hard-working people being laid-off from their jobs left and right, those whose jobs have remained in tact may start to feel some effects of survivor’s guilt. Every single day people are losing their jobs or worrying about losing their jobs; unfortunately it has become the “American Way” of the era. There are countless resources for the jobless or soon-to-be unemployed to turn to, but what about those who have not been left without a job?

Many who have been laid off may turn against their employed neighbors, friends, family members, and spouses, feeling as if there is no way for them to understand the stress and helpless that comes with being unemployed. The employed may then even start to feel guilty for their success, hard work, good luck, or whatever else they may feel has caused their job security. They might be asking “Why did he or she lose their job while I kept mine? Am I expected to be working twice as hard now? Should I be putting in more hours and working through weekends and vacations? Should I double my donations to charity, since no one else can afford it? Should I offer more support to others, even outside of my family? What do I do with this new role as breadwinner, not just for my family, but for my country?” However, at a time when there is enough stress and ill-feeling going around the country, there is simply no room for the guilt of the thriving.

If you have been able to remain secure at your place of employment, do not feel guilty. It is not your sole burden to support the un-working world, to carry hard-hit charities, or to diminish your own skills and success. You should be proud of what you have accomplished, relieved at your stability, and active in supporting your community. Continue on the path that has led to your success and stability, but do not live above your means. Yes, continue to donate your time and money to charity, but do not increase your efforts above what you are comfortable capable of out of remorse.

We here at Five Point Capital know that the world needs strong, stead-fast, good-hearted people, not those crippled with survivor’s guilt. This economy is no time for showing off, bragging, or lavish spending, but it is also not the time for guilt or unwise spending. Do your part for your community, but remember to keep your head held high and your work ethic strong. The rest will soon follow.

It’s the Great Recession, Charlie Brown!

Thursday, April 23rd, 2009

It is no wonder that Americans everywhere are turning to the most unlikely of sources for economic predictions. Every news source in the world is reporting a different prediction, different turn of events, different outcome. Many of us have even turned to “trend forecasters” such as Gerald Celente, who claims to have predicted everything from the mortgage crisis to the dot-com boom ahead of time, as reported by New York Magazine. With the discrepancies in the news being broadcast on television, radio, in the paper, and online every day, it is no surprise we have all but turned our desperate faces to fortune tellers in the street.

On Sunday, the Associated Press reported that the recession seemed to finally be subsiding. Monday morning, however, Reuters countered with a report that the recession would probably last longer than originally expected. What is going on? Does anyone really know? Or have we just resorted to throwing out any prediction possible? After all, if the economy rebounds or it does not, someone will end up being right.

The big word on the economic street is “worried.” Wall Street worries about the banks. Oil stumbles due to demand worries. The government worries that bank bailouts are vulnerable to fraud. While the current state of the economy gives us much to fret over, what good is that worrying really doing? Couldn’t our time be spent in a more productive manner? As the wonderfully wise Ben Franklin once said, “do not anticipate trouble or worry about what may never happen. Keep in the sunlight.” Worrying and anticipating and waiting and predicting will get us no where.

While it may not provide the comfort and immediate answers we seek, the solution may not lie in predicting the future of American economy, but rather in working hard for small successes; we may not know when the mortgage crisis will end, but we can put our efforts into helping those who have already been affected, with institutions like the new mortgage aid program, as reported by the Associated Press.

Instead, let’s all do our part to save the economy. Spend wisely, but do not waste. Invest, but conservatively. Think ahead, but throw out the crystal ball. Be environmentally friendly, but don’t throw out your Honda for a Hybrid just yet. Do your research, but stay away from the pessimism porn. And if you must worry, at least follow the infamous philosophy of Charles Schulz’s beloved Charlie Brown:

“I only dread one day at a time.”